Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.502478 4.041555 4.633021 5.329734 6.127622 7.012498 8.068004
2025-01-19 2.564219 3.223749 4.008313 5.009060 6.250395 7.738413 9.656650
2025-01-26 2.140103 2.898667 3.866516 5.188855 6.945524 9.196026 12.295481
2025-02-02 1.883117 2.725492 3.869226 5.529815 7.873214 11.055672 15.699524
2025-02-09 1.614649 2.482540 3.729443 5.642371 8.493205 12.573296 18.843895
2025-02-16 1.391461 2.261325 3.577389 5.700521 9.025505 14.015868 22.053552
2025-02-23 1.168053 1.999205 3.318835 5.549659 9.207737 14.944692 24.593197
2025-03-02 0.968340 1.740110 3.022166 5.286451 9.162213 15.494252 26.579826
2025-03-09 0.856745 1.610248 2.915136 5.314202 9.585157 16.828163 29.980905
2025-03-16 0.738867 1.449816 2.731061 5.178864 9.702847 17.652153 32.597453
2025-03-23 0.698364 1.425164 2.783293 5.469977 10.606650 19.926559 38.005885
2025-03-30 0.649459 1.376377 2.782859 5.659780 11.341587 21.971167 43.216046
2025-04-06 0.582448 1.284001 2.691562 5.672574 11.761628 23.520197 47.758535
2025-04-13 0.493704 1.132651 2.462447 5.379241 11.542400 23.829020 49.951694
2025-04-20 0.464181 1.104327 2.481761 5.600742 12.396499 26.339765 56.824256
2025-04-27 0.450533 1.109353 2.572310 5.985900 13.641560 29.779658 65.999609
2025-05-04 0.418113 1.065682 2.549750 6.118205 14.355450 32.193958 73.288556
2025-05-11 0.384764 1.014402 2.502592 6.187465 14.935990 34.385058 80.339973
2025-05-18 0.340894 0.929878 2.365855 6.027740 14.970191 35.378861 84.838073
2025-05-25 0.295687 0.834331 2.188648 5.744572 14.673693 35.586637 87.549386
2025-06-01 0.272517 0.793436 2.141007 5.775842 15.140562 37.602581 94.709594
2025-06-08 0.243258 0.731082 2.029889 5.629789 15.147690 38.531035 99.367035
2025-06-15 0.237634 0.734598 2.091947 5.945854 16.371251 42.532054 111.992375